Match Info

USL League One

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.00	5.25
	1.45	4.10	5.75
	1.53	4.08	6.10
	1.48	4.39	5.98	Watch
	1.50	3.70	5.50
	1.57	4.18	5.22	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	4.02 ↑ (3.7)	5.56 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
60.8%

Draw
22.8%

New York Cosmos
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

One Knoxville - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 6. Caputo A. 89. Baker T. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 7. Diene B. 11. Linhares K. 9. Krioutchenkov D.	26. Garcia J. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 33. Sidoel D. 24. Noecker W. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 20. Mendonca N. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
26. Brown J. 13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 17. Goling M. 5. McLeod S. 21. Zarokostas S.	22. Bohui P. 1. Chan D. (G) 16. Mason D. 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 2. Morabito M. 11. Zielonka N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Galazzini D. 🟨,
18', Noecker W. 🟨,
19', Diene B. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 1 - 0, Diene B. ⚽,
26', Garcia J. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Galazzini D. ⚽,
59', Tiao C. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
59', Linhares K. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
66', Diene B. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
70', Baker T. 🟨,
72', Caputo A. ↓, Bull ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Goling M. ⚽,
73', Noecker W. ↓, Morabito M. ↑,
76', Galazzini D. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
77', Cabrera N. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
86', Guenzatti S. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
86', Mendonca N. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

One Knoxville has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

New York Cosmos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

New York Cosmos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.

In this match, One Knoxville is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
29.05.26	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	One Knoxville - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLL
- New York Cosmos
USL Cup
06.06.26	New York Cosmos - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	New York Cosmos - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	AV Alta - New York Cosmos	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
15.05.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

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