Match Info

USL League One

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Fort Wayne		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.40	3.10	2.65
	2.37	3.10	3.35
	2.39	3.33	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.80
	2.47	3.23	2.82	Watch
	2.37	3.10	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.8)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.85 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
38.6%

Draw
29%

Spokane Velocity
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fort Wayne's performance.

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spokane Velocity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fort Wayne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spokane Velocity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fort Wayne - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fort Wayne will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 2. Smith J. 86. Armas J. 12. Gafar K. 8. Garay J. 11. Healy T. 23. Thomas J. 7. Ricol L.	1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 20. Covi I. 10. Gil L. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 11. John-Brown S.
Substitutes
10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. 22. Hernandez A. 18. Nieto E. 9. Oyetunde D. 5. Sproat R.	9. Brett N. 14. Hernandez M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 3. Spielman N. 8. Vinyals N. 18. Waldeck D. 22. Wells R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Healy T. ⚽,
16', Smith J. 🟨,
38', Gafar K. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Garay J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez C. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
46', Miller C. ↓, Brett N. ↑,
46', Mensah M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Ricol L. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Thomas J. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
65', Garay J. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
66', Ricol L. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
80', Alexandre M. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
83', Smith J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
85', Healy T. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Spokane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fort Wayne has had a series of away games.

Recently, Spokane has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
20.06.26	Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Westchester SC - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Union Omaha - Fort Wayne	4:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Fort Wayne - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTLT
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
01.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:4 ✺
13.06.26	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

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