Match Info

USL League One

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Spokane Velocity		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.00	2.87
	2.28	3.00	2.92
	2.25	3.10	3.17
	2.34	3.04	3.19	Watch
	2.25	2.80	3.00
	2.23	3.04	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
40%

Draw
30.2%

One Knoxville
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. (C) 11. John-Brown S. 8. Vinyals N. 17. Alexandre M. 9. Brett N.	25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 11. Linhares K. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
37. Buck J. 20. Covi I. 7. Gallardo J. 10. Gil L. 14. Hernandez M. 33. Mensah M. 3. Spielman N. 22. Wells R.	26. Brown J. 13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 5. McLeod S. 21. Zarokostas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, McRobb F. ⚽, Baker T. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Baker T. ⚽, Linhares K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brett N. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
49', Covi I. 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Linhares K. ⚽, Krioutchenkov D. (A),
61', Miller C. 🟨,
67', Fitch S. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
67', Lewis A. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
69', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
70', Perkins W. 🟨,
74', 0 - 4, Goling M. ⚽,
76', Perkins W. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
78', McRobb F. 🟨,
84', Linhares K. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
84', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
84', Baker T. ↓, Bull ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Spokane have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

One Knoxville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Last Results with these Odds

Spokane Velocity - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

One Knoxville - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
13.06.26	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:1 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
13.06.26	One Knoxville - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
29.05.26	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	One Knoxville - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.11.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	2:0
30.08.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:0
16.03.25	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	2:2
26.10.24	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:0
23.08.24	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:1

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