Match Info

USL League One

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.59	2.93	3.01
	2.67	2.87	2.88	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.45	3.3	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)	3 ↑ (2.97)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
36.6%

Draw
30.7%

Union Omaha
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

One Knoxville - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 23. Williams D. 11. Linhares K. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 6. Caputo A. 72. Rodrigues B. P. 17. Goling M. 7. Diene B.	99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 27. Jiba R. 6. Guediri S. 11. Borczak D. 28. Caceres E. 22. Tekiela K. 17. Gutierrez D. 9. Botello Faz P. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 18. Cordova H. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 24. Lemen N. (G) 22. Perkins W. 21. Zarokostas S.	21. Gomez A. 14. Kallman B. 19. Lawrence C. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ors Navarro S. 5. Orson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Murphy Jr. J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽,
32', Borczak D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Caceres E. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
57', Borczak D. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
57', Malone B. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
59', McRobb F. 🟨,
66', Williams D. ↓, Bull ↑,
66', Linhares K. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
75', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
78', Owusu S. 🟨,
82', Brown J. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Ors Navarro S. ⚽,
85', Tekiela K. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90+1', Jiba R. ↓, Orson J. ↑,
90+5', Perkins W. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1.

One Knoxville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Union Omaha has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Columbus Crew - One Knoxville	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tulsa - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	DC United - One Knoxville	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLWWW
- Union Omaha
USL League One
09.05.26	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.09.25	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:2
16.08.25	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:0
21.09.24	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	1:0
12.04.24	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	0:1
05.08.23	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	3:1
18.07.23	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2
21.06.23	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	1:1

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