Match Info

USL League One

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	New York Cosmos		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.7	1.9
	3.19	4.39	1.93
	3.16	4.46	1.89	Watch
	3.1	3.8	1.83
	3.42	4.1	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.62)	4.09 ↑ (3.91)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
28.6%

Draw
22.4%

Union Omaha
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

New York Cosmos - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 20. Mendonca N. 8. Spengler A. 33. Sidoel D. 19. Jawneh L. 13. Guenzatti S. (C) 11. Zielonka N.	24. Nuhu R. (C) 19. Lawrence C. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 27. Jiba R. 6. Guediri S. 16. Wootton L. 11. Borczak D. 77. Gavilanes A. 17. Gutierrez D. 21. Gomez A.
Substitutes
22. Bohui P. 1. Chan D. (G) 7. Guarino L. 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 2. Morabito M. 24. Noecker W. 14. Puentes A.	9. Botello Faz P. 23. Boudadi Y. 8. Gabriel Cabral 99. Jensen C. (G) 14. Kallman B. 20. Ors Navarro S. 22. Tekiela K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Owusu S. 🟨,
31', Guediri S. 🟨,
45+2', Mendonca N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gutierrez D. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
46', Sidoel D. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
49', Malone B. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,
61', Gomez A. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
61', Lawrence C. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
61', Borczak D. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
62', Zielonka N. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
76', Guenzatti S. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Holt A. ⚽,
83', Wootton L. ↓, Gabriel Cabral ↑,
84', Mendonca N. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
84', Chavez J. ↓, Noecker W. ↑,
86', Botello Faz P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Bohui P. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Tekiela K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of New York Cosmos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Union Omaha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of home games.

In this match, Union Omaha is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
23.05.26	AV Alta - New York Cosmos	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
15.05.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	2:3 ✺
USL League One
02.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	New York Cosmos - Brooklyn	0:3 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	New York Cosmos - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT
- Union Omaha
USL League One
23.05.26	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Union Omaha - Louisville City	1:5 ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW

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