Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.1	2.48
	2.76	3.18	2.43	Watch
	2.64	3.28	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.13)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.42 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
33.5%

Draw
28.7%

Indy Eleven
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indy Eleven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

One Knoxville - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 5. McLeod S. 22. Ritchie S. 3. Haugli S. 21. Zarokostas S. 12. Johnson C. 11. Calixtro G. 17. Goling M. 10. Tekiela K.	23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 33. White H. 30. Ofeimu B. 41. Musa J. 4. McRobb F. 27. Rendon B. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. 8. Blake J. 99. Foster M. 22. Amoh E.
Substitutes
6. Caputo A. 7. Diene B. 25. Garibay J. (G) 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 15. Martin H. 77. Rosamilia N.	18. Collier E. 3. Hogan P. 19. Kizza E. 6. Lindley C. 2. O'Brien J. 98. Sulte H. (G) 9. Williams R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', White H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Calixtro G. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
46', Johnson C. ↓, Caputo A. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽,
62', White H. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
62', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
63', McLeod S. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
63', McRobb F. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
70', Foster M. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
76', Zarokostas S. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
78', Blake J. 🟨,
80', Skelton J. 🟨,
81', Blake J. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
88', Ritchie S. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
90+2', Skelton J. 🟨,
90+3', Lindley C. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Indy has had a series of away games.

Indy might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
16.05.25	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	One Knoxville - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Naples - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTTW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
16.05.25	El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Forward Madison - Indy Eleven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW

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