Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.86	3.42	3.89
	1.88	3.46	3.77	Watch
	1.87	3.32	3.81
	1.77	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	3.4 ↑ (3.26)	3.92 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
49.7%

Draw
26.9%

Tulsa
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

One Knoxville - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 26. Brown J. 3. Haugli S. 4. Skelton J. 5. McLeod S. 22. Ritchie S. 21. Zarokostas S. 14. Doyle M. 6. Caputo A. 17. Goling M. 7. Diene B.	99. Penaranda J. (G) 14. Rogers A. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 26. Colli G. 6. Diallo B. 2. Damm O. 22. Lukic S. 21. Dalou A. 9. Calheira T.
Substitutes
13. Bull 25. Garibay J. (G) 12. Johnson C. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 77. Rosamilia N. 10. Tekiela K.	31. Dowd B. (G) 10. Elmedkhar K. 17. Laszo E. 4. Pierre D. 98. Stauffer L. 35. Toure A. 8. Webber J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽,
28', Diallo B. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Goling M. ⚽, Zarokostas S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
46', St.Clair H. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
46', Diene B. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
46', Skelton J. ↓, Bull ↑,
65', Calheira T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
66', Lukic S. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
70', Cissoko A. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Tekiela K. ⚽,
73', Batista L. 🟨,
77', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
80', Zarokostas S. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
81', Colli G. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
89', Batista L. 🟨,
90+2', Doyle M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Toure A. ⚽,

Preview

One Knoxville is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tulsa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

One Knoxville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently One Knoxville have a series of guest games.

In this match One Knoxville is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's One Knoxville to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
19.04.25	Naples - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - One Knoxville	3:2 ET ✺
USL League One
09.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:3 ✺
USL League One
22.03.25	Texoma - One Knoxville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWW
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
19.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Tulsa - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Forward Madison - Tulsa	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.25	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

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