Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Operário		Comércio e Indústria

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.5
	1.91	3.35	3.6
	1.94	3.58	3.48
	1.91	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.27)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	3.55 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário
47.5%

Draw
26.9%

Comércio e Indústria
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário's performance.

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comércio e Indústria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comércio e Indústria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Operário - Comércio e Indústria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Operário is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comércio Indústria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Operário
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Moncarapachense - Operário	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Operário - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Operário	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT
- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Serpa - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moura	2:3 ✺
23.02.25	Amora - Comércio e Indústria	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLL

Operário - Comércio e Indústria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide