Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 10

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)


	Operário Ferroviario		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.5	3.5	7.2
	1.54	3.58	7.33
	1.47	3.25	7
	1.53	3.56	6.6	Watch
	1.51	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	3.51 ↑ (3.19)	6.8 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
60.6%

Draw
26%

Aparecidense
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

28.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário Ferroviario's performance.

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Operário Ferroviario - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (C) 10. Alisson Taddei 3. Allan Godoi 6. Arthur Neves 7. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 4. Jonathan 2. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Popo	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Alex Henrique (C) 2. David 4. Eduardo Thuram 5. Felipe Manoel 7. Guilherme Nunes d. S. 8. Naldo 11. Rafa Marcos 10. Raphael Luz 6. Rodrigues 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
15. Alison 13. Borech 18. Ferreira 21. Jean Carlos 17. Luidy 23. Matheus Alemao 19. Neto Costa 16. Para 20. Rafael Oller 14. Ryan 12. Talles (G) 22. Yago Rocha	21. Alan Stence 22. Caio Callyman 18. Calyson Rosa 15. Ferreira 13. Genilson 19. Jackson 17. Joao Diogo 14. Leo Rigo 16. Matheus Leal 20. Robert 12. William Menezes (G)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Operário Ferroviario is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aparecidense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aparecidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Operário Ferroviario is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
18.06.23	Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	América RN - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.23	CS Alagoano - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Aparecidense - Remo	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Aparecidense - Brusque	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Ypiranga - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
29.05.23	Aparecidense - Altos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLLWL

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