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Current Win Probability
Operário Ferroviario 46.6%
Draw 28.5%
Botafogo SP 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
27.8%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
27.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Operário Ferroviario will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (C) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 14. Pereira H. 20. Vinicius Diniz 88. Neto Paraiba 11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jonathan 4. Vilar 27. Darlan 22. Gabriel Inocencio 8. Everton Morelli 5. Leandro Maciel 6. Patrick Brey (C) 10. Rafael Gava 9. Hygor 23. Wesley Santos
Substitutes
21. Brenno Pereira 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 4. Klaus 26. Maguinho 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.
18. Arthur Caike 26. Felipe Vieira 33. Hebert 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 28. Marco Antonio 16. Matheus Sales 31. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes 30. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Aylon (A),
36', Leandro Maciel 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Patrick Brey ⚽,
45+2', Darlan 🟨,
45+5', Pereira H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Neto Paraiba ↓, Miranda ↑,
46', Aylon ↓, Moraes ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Everton Morelli ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
56', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
62', Matheus Trindade ↓, Zuluaga J. ↑,
66', Rafael Gava ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
66', Leandro Maciel ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
70', Darlan ↓, Hebert ↑,
70', Hygor ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
71', Caio Dantas ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
87', Wesley Santos ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
89', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
90', Joseph 🟨,
90+1', Cuenu J. 🟥,
90+1', Patrick Brey 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1.
In recent outings, Operário PR has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Botafogo SP has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Botafogo SP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Operário PR is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Operário PR: Maxwell
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Inactive)
Torres A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Knee Injury)
Ericson
(Yellow Cards)
Erik Rebello
(Injury)
Guilherme Mariano
(Muscle Injury)
Jefferson Nem
(Inactive)
Wallace
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Operário PR has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Operário PR against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Brazil
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Vagner (C) 
Cuenu J. 
Pereira H. 
Leandro Maciel 
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