Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Operário Ferroviario		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.4	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.2	2.8	3.35
	2.24	2.8	3.5
	2.31	2.92	3.79
	2.2	2.88	3.6
	2.23	2.97	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.17)	2.88 ↓ (3.04)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
41.9%

Draw
32.1%

Guaraní Asuncion
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guaraní have a series of home games.

Operário Ferroviario will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.20	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
23.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
18.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	3:0 ✺
14.08.20	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.11.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
20.08.19	Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0

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