Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Operário Ferroviario		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.25
	2.2	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.34	2.7	3.4
	2.45	2.84	3.65
	2.3	2.75	3.5
	2.32	2.93	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
40%

Draw
32.8%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

31.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	50%	4.2%

Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Paraná will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Operário Ferroviario will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
13.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
07.11.20	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Juventude - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
13.11.20	Avaí - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
06.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.02.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.19	Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
11.06.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
04.02.16	Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
04.04.15	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0

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