Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Ferreira E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Operário Ferroviario		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.2	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.4	3	2.25
	3.77	2.99	2.27
	3.68	2.9	2.23
	3.5	2.9	2.25
	3.59	2.92	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.85)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.23 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
26.5%

Draw
31.7%

Sport Recife
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

31.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ferroviario's form might have worsened.

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Operário Ferroviario - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Recife will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 72. Thales Oleques 30. Joseph 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 55. Jacy (C) 8. Vinicius Diniz 16. Boschilia 31. Ronald 99. Daniel Lima 7. Rodrigo Farofa	22. Caique Franca (G) 16. Igor Carius 44. Chico 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 6. Felipinho 94. Felipe 8. Dominguez F. 19. Lucas Lima 30. Chrystian Barletta 99. Ze Roberto 59. Ortiz C.
Substitutes
14. Borech 38. Filipe Claudino 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 51. Lopes G. (G) 20. Nathan Fogaca 88. Neto Paraiba 2. Ocampos S. 70. Pedro Lucas 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 90. Ronaldo 9. Vinicius Mingotti	12. Alisson Cassiano 29. Dalbert 20. Di Placido L. 7. Fabinho 5. Fernandez J. 9. Gustavo Coutinho 76. Jordan (G) 77. Lenny Lobato 40. Luciano Castan 17. Pedro Vilhena 21. Thiago Couto (G) 18. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Miguel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Ze Roberto ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
12', Ortiz C. 🟨,
28', Felipe 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Ortiz C. ⚽,
41', Ortiz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jacy ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
46', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
46', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
55', Thales Oleques 🟨,
63', Rafael Thyere 🟨,
67', Daniel Lima ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
67', Rodrigo Farofa ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
71', Dominguez F. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Willian Machado (A),
73', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
73', Thales Oleques ↓, Filipe Claudino ↑,
79', Dominguez F. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Boschilia ⚽,
83', Boschilia 🟨,
85', Felipe ↓, Fabinho ↑,
90+1', Ronald 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recife will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Operário PR: Fagner Alemao (Injury) Talles (Injury)

There will not play in Recife: Denis (Injury) Renzo (Injury) Romarinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Dudu Scheit (Injury) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Gui Azevedo (Injury) Ocampos S. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Operário PR won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.10.24	Barreirense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWT
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.24	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Sport Recife - Guarani	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
16.10.24	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.10.24	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
28.10.22	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	5:1
14.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - Sport Recife	0:0
28.09.19	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	3:1
28.05.19	Operário Ferroviario - Sport Recife	2:1

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