Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Operário Ferroviario		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	6	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.75
	1.68	3.3	6
	1.72	3.32	6.94
	1.69	3.4	5.55	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.68	3.4	5.71	Watch
	1.68	3.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)	3.35 ↓ (3.83)	5.99 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
56.3%

Draw
28%

Ituano
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

24%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ferroviario's form might have worsened.

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Operário Ferroviario - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: Operário Ferroviario will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 72. Thales Oleques 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 55. Jacy 29. Dudu Scheit 11. Felipe Augusto (C) 77. Maxwell 3. Allan Godoi 31. Ronald 90. Ronaldo	12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Marcinho 4. Guilherme Mariano 3. Claudinho (C) 6. Richard 8. Miqueias 5. Rodrigo 10. Jose Aldo 11. Bruno Xavier 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva
Substitutes
16. Boschilia 17. Erik Bessa 21. Fagner Alemao 47. Felipe Garcia 91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 5. Indio 30. Joseph 13. Lucas Hipolito 88. Neto Paraiba 7. Rodrigo Farofa 23. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz	18. de Almeida J. V. X. 14. Erik 22. Gabriel Falcao 16. Guilherme Lazaroni 19. Jhow 13. Leo Oliveira 21. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 17. Neto Berola 1. Saulo (G) 23. Wesley Borges (G) 20. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Dudu Scheit ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Miqueias ⚽, Vinicius Paiva (A),
23', 0 - 2, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Marcinho (A),
29', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Thales Oleques (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ronald ↓, Rodrigo Farofa ↑,
63', Ronaldo ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
63', Maxwell ↓, Boschilia ↑,
66', Thonny Anderson ↓, de Almeida J. V. X. ↑,
72', Richard ↓, Guilherme Lazaroni ↑,
72', Miqueias ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
81', Bruno Xavier ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
82', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Jhow ↑,
85', Para ↓, Erik Bessa ↑,
88', de Almeida J. V. X. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Operário PR is certain favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Ronaldo (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.24	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
17.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.24	Ituano - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	Ituano - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
23.07.24	Ituano - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.04.24	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:2
30.08.22	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
21.05.22	Operário Ferroviario - Ituano	3:2

Upcoming Matches