Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 18

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Vieira Monteiro A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Mirassol		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	5.75	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.78	3.1	5.5
	1.81	3.21	5.97
	1.91	3.09	4.58	Watch
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.79	3.24	5.05	Watch
	1.76	3.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.18)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)	5.23 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
52.5%

Draw
29.6%

Operário Ferroviario
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 27. Gabriel (C) 8. Danielzinho 10. Chico Kim 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho	1. Rafael Santos (C) 72. Thales Oleques 30. Joseph 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 55. Jacy 88. Neto Paraiba 38. Filipe Claudino 7. Rodrigo Farofa 99. Daniel Lima 22. Guilherme Pira
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 44. Henri 14. Isaque 20. Joao Pedro 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 25. Neto Moura 6. PH 9. Quirino 1. Vanderlei (G) 33. Wanderson	29. Dudu Scheit 17. Erik Bessa 21. Fagner Alemao 11. Felipe Augusto 91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 18. Gui Azevedo 5. Indio 13. Lucas Hipolito 10. Marco Antonio 2. Ocampos S. 8. Vinicius Diniz 32. Vinicius Mingotti
Coaches
Mozart	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Negueba ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
24', Dellatorre ↓, Quirino ↑,
33', Joseph 🟨,
35', Filipe Claudino 🟨,
45+3', Rodrigo Farofa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jacy ↓, Indio ↑,
49', Fernandinho 🟨,
59', Filipe Claudino ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
59', Neto Paraiba ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
62', Gabriel ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
67', Felipe Augusto 🟨,
67', Daniel Lima ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
72', Alex Muralha 🟨,
76', Guilherme Pira ↓, Dudu Scheit ↑,
80', Negueba ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
80', Fernandinho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
81', Chico Kim ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
86', Bruno Matias 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Operário PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Neto Moura (Injury)

There will not play in Operário PR: Felipe Augusto (Injury) Ronaldo (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.24	Mirassol - Avaí	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	4:2 ✺
09.07.24	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
02.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
17.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.07.24	Grêmio - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.07.24	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLT

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