Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.7	3.6	Watch
	2.30	2.70	3.40
	2.28	2.82	3.45	Watch
	2.55	2.86	3.45
	2.56	2.55	3.56
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.48	2.7	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	2.72 ↓ (2.86)	3.41 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
38.6%

Draw
34.1%

Juventude
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

32.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

33.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ferroviario's form might have worsened.

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.3%	7.7%

Operário Ferroviario - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 44. Klaus 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 11. Aylon 20. Vinicius Diniz 10. Boschilia (C) 6. Moraes 92. Pablo	93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 22. Nathan Santos 75. Rai Silva 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 9. Alan Kardec 17. Castro M.
Substitutes
18. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 80. Favero 7. Felipe Augusto 26. Maguinho 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H. 4. Pool J. 29. Torres E.	13. Aderlan 25. Alisson Safira 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 79. Joao Scatolin 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi 6. Wadson
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Aylon 🟨,
27', Vagner 🟨,
31', Messias 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽, Mikael Doka (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Rai Silva ⚽,
56', Nathan Santos 🟨,
62', Nathan Santos ↓, Aderlan ↑,
62', Messias ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
67', Castro M. ↓, Wadson ↑,
71', Aylon ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
80', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
80', Moraes ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
85', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
85', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
85', Alan Kardec ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
86', Fabio Lima ↓, Ly I. ↑,
88', Klaus 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Boschilia (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
90+8', Mauricio Barbieri 🟥,

Preview

Neutral location.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Recent form of Operário PR has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Juventude has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Juventude has had a series of home games.

Operário PR might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Knee Injury) Neto Paraiba (Yellow Cards) Vinicius Mingotti (Knee Injury) Zuluaga J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Allanzinho (Inactive) Luan Martins (Inactive) Mandaca (Inactive) Pablo Roberto (Thigh Injury) Patryck (Muscle Injury) Rai Ramos (Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Indio (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	2:6 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Fluminense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.26	Juventude - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Juventude - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	3:0
29.09.20	Juventude - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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