Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 3

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Londrina		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3	3.15
	2.37	3.05	3.49
	2.34	3	3.29	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.1
	2.3	2.98	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.51)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	3.27 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
40.2%

Draw
31.1%

Sport Recife
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

32%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Londrina - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 2. Weverton 3. Yago Lincoln 34. Heron 33. Kevyn 8. Lucas Marques (C) 5. Andre Luiz 7. Vitinho Mota 96. Thalis 11. Iago Teles 9. Bruno Santos	26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 3. Marcelo Ajul 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 58. Ze Lucas 23. Ze Gabriel 7. Yago Felipe (C) 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Pedro Perotti 6. Biel Fonseca
Substitutes
17. Andre Cardoso 13. Andre Dhominique 28. Caio Maia 55. Caio Rafael 53. Chumbinho 15. Gabriel Lacerda 32. Joao Tavares 77. Juninho 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro	25. Clayson 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 71. Lipao 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins
Coaches
Aal A.	Azevedo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
44', Thalis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ze Lucas ↓, Clayson ↑,
61', Thalis ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
61', Yago Felipe ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Chrystian Barletta (Penalty Awarded),
77', Vitinho Mota ↓, Caio Maia ↑,
77', Iago Teles ↓, Juninho ↑,
83', Andre Luiz ↓, Chumbinho ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Augusto (A),
88', Chrystian Barletta ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
90+2', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
90+5', Augusto ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Londrina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Sport Recife: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Sport Recife - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Londrina - Goiás	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Manaus - Londrina	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLWL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.09.23	Sport Recife - Londrina	4:0
04.06.23	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2
22.10.22	Londrina - Sport Recife	2:1
09.07.22	Sport Recife - Londrina	2:0
24.09.19	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2
24.05.19	Sport Recife - Londrina	3:2

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