Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.36	4.65	7.82
	1.41	4.58	7.19	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.36	4.75	7.55	Watch
	1.35	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.68)	4.63 ↑ (3.8)	7.22 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
67.5%

Draw
19.8%

Orange County SC
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farr J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 19. Kleemann F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 27. Niyongabire P. 18. Worth N. 4. Hilton L. 23. Munjoma E. 26. Jennings C. 98. Perez J. 9. Arteaga M.	1. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. 33. Miles A. 23. Doghman R. 15. Chattha A. 11. Jamison B. 35. Norris B. 26. Scott K. (C) 14. Flood R. 9. Zubak E.
Substitutes
15. Breno P. (G) 42. Bubb Z. 17. Crisostomo D. 14. Dennis C. 5. DeZart J. 8. Rivera D. 24. Skubis N.	12. Chavez J. 7. Dunbar C. 6. Fox A. 5. Powers D. 29. Santana J. (G) 17. Sorto C.
Coaches
Neilson R.	Hardyman P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jennings C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orange County SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.

In this match Tampa Bay is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
06.07.24	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0 ✺
21.06.24	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Oakland Roots - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
06.07.24	Orange County SC - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
03.07.24	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.03.23	Orange County SC - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1
27.08.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	3:1
28.11.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	1:3

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