Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Ordabasy		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.50
	1.29	4.8	8	Watch
	1.33	5	7.9
	1.35	4.52	8.17	Watch
	1.3	4.7	8.05
	1.37	5.33	6.66	Watch
	1.29	4.7	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	4.9 ↑ (3.91)	7.84 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ordabasy
69.7%

Draw
18.7%

Kyzylzhar
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. 25. Maliy S. (C) 55. Amanovic A. 5. Antic N. 11. Vakulko Y. 16. Capatina M. 77. Abagna D. 19. Leo Natel 28. Johnsen B. 9. Everton	1. Celeadnic D. (G) 11. Cheredinov A. 23. Piscevic N. 28. Urosevic S. 27. Gubarev N. 55. Noyok O. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 10. Bjartalid J. 13. Bahoken S. 77. Latifi L. 99. Beugre E.
Substitutes
24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 44. Keita T. 23. Nurymbet A. 27. Serik N. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 8. Zhaksybaev U.	96. Abiken A. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 90. Kenzhadoev A. 29. Loginovsky G. 7. Muldinov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 19. Serikuly D. 71. Sokolenko A. 53. Talyspayev D. (G) 79. Valgushev G.
Coaches
Martin A.	Zhukovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Leo Natel ⚽, Everton (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Abagna D. ⚽,
68', Cheredinov A. ↓, Sokolenko A. ↑,
68', Noyok O. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
68', Makarenko E. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Everton ⚽, Leo Natel (A),
77', Latifi L. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
77', Everton ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
77', Capatina M. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
84', Leo Natel ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
85', Beugre E. ↓, Kenzhadoev A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ordabasy is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Ordabasy will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
02.08.26	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Kairat - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	1:2
Kazakh Cup
28.08.25	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ET
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0
Kazakh Cup
25.06.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0
Kazakh Premier League
30.03.25	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	0:0
03.10.24	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:1
20.04.24	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	1:1

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