Match Info
Premier League - Round 6Date: 22 August 2025, FridayLocation: Luzhniki Stadium (Moscow)Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
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Orenburg |
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Akhmat Grozny |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.15 |
3.55 |
2.29 |
|
 |
3.3 |
3.67 |
2.28 |
 Watch |
 |
3.35 |
3.2 |
2.16 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
3.47 ↑
(3.2) |
2.24 ↑
(2.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orenburg
29.4% | Draw
27.7% | Akhmat Grozny
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Ovsyannikov B. (G)
44.  Chichinadze A.
38. Kasimov A.
4. Khotulev D.
18.  Moufi F.
33. Kvekveskiri I.
8. Kamilov V.
11. Oganesyan S.
16.  Thompson J.
7.  Gurluk E.
20. Rybchinskiy D. (C)
| 88. Shelia G. (G)
81. Sidorov M.
90.  Ndong O.
75.  Ghandri N.
8.  Bogosavac M.
11.  Silva I.
42.  Keliano M.
20.  Samorodov M.
17. Cacintura E.
7. Sadulaev L. (C)
13.  Konate M.
|
| Substitutes |
57. Bolotov E.
29.  Bubanja V.
37. Du Queiroz
30.  Guzina G.
95. Khodanovich A. (G)
88. Koserik N.
2. Poroykov S.
77. Revazov A.
99. Sysuev N. (G)
5. Tataev A.
3. Vedernikov D.
31. Zotov G.
| 70. Gadzhiev A.
32. Gaibov I.
4. Ibishev T.
72. Magomedov Y. (G)
9.  Mansilla B.
77. Melkadze G.
22.  Mohazabieh M.
14. Talal A.
55. Todorovic D.
1. Ulyanov V. (G)
40. Utsiev R.
71. Yakuev M.
|
| Coaches |
Sliskovic V.
| Cherchesov S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Rybchinskiy D. (A),
- 5', Cacintura E. 🟥,
- 18', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
- 28', 🟨,
- 35', Oganesyan S. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Kvekveskiri I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
- 46', Chichinadze A. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
- 46', Oganesyan S. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Silva I. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
- 56', 2 - 2, Sidorov M. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 62', Konate M. ↓, Melkadze G. ↑,
- 62', Kamilov V. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 63', Sadulaev L. 🟥,
- 64', Moufi F. 🟨,
- 70', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 76', Khotulev D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 81', Thompson J. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Akhmat will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.3:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Orenburg - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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