Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Rubin Kazan		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.55	4.71	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	4.52 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
52.3%

Draw
27.3%

Orenburg
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Orenburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Rubin Kazan - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.

Rubin has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Orenburg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rubin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Rubin is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Rubin has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:18 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rubin against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Rubin Kazan: 2.7% Orenburg: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTWW
- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.09.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:2 penalties
Russian Premier League
09.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	1:1
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	1:2
Russian Premier League
11.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	0:0
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	0:1
Russian Cup
16.09.25	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:0 penalties
Russian Premier League
30.08.25	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	2:2

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