The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rubin Kazan 48%
Draw 27.1%
Orenburg 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
27.6%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
25.4%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rubin Kazan - Orenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 12. Arroyo A. 23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 6. Iwu U. 51. Rozhkov I. 14. Saavedra I. 43. Siwe J. 2. Teslenko E. 13. Urozov J. 5. Vujacic I. (C)
35. Degtev A. (G) 27. Golybin R. 77. Kasadzhikov A. 38. Kasimov A. 4. Khotulev D. (C) 78. Kul R. 22. Lukashov A. 11. Nazarenko E. 80. Pykhcheev M. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 3. Vedernikov D.
Substitutes
7. Babaev U. 27. Gritsaenko A. 18. Ignatiev M. 89. Ivanov M. 8. Jocic B. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 59. Motorin D. N. 10. Salcedo E. 71. Samoshnikov I. 38. Staver E. (G)
57. Bolotov E. 21. Bosch B. 7. Gonzalez J. 30. Guzina G. 53. Korobov V. (G) 63. Minatulaev O. 1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 6. Palacios J. 8. Puebla D. 24. Sivis M. 5. Tataev A. 26. Tsenov E.
Coaches
Artiga F.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Nazarenko E. ⚽, Rybchinskiy D. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Golybin R. ⚽, Nazarenko E. (A),
40', Golybin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kul R. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
46', Iwu U. ↓, Salcedo E. ↑,
46', Teslenko E. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
46', Bezrukov R. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
56', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
59', Nazarenko E. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', Kasadzhikov A. 🟨,
67', Siwe J. 🟨,
67', Khotulev D. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Khotulev D. ⚽,
70', Golybin R. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
70', Pykhcheev M. ↓, Sivis M. ↑,
70', Rozhkov I. ↓, Samoshnikov I. ↑,
75', Siwe J. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Kasadzhikov A. ⚽, Nazarenko E. (A),
80', Kasadzhikov A. 🟨,
88', Lukashov A. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Babaev U. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Rubin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Rubin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Rubin has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:18 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rubin against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).