Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 17

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Orense		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.80	5.50	Watch
	1.55	3.60	5.00
	1.71	3.50	4.70	Watch
	1.61	3.92	5.84
	1.8	3.58	4.39	Watch
	1.59	3.80	5.65
	1.62	3.73	5.44	Watch
	1.56	3.70	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	5.24 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Técnico Universitario
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Orense - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Técnico Univ (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (5.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 5. Lorenzo A. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 25. Jaramilo R. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S. 13. Mena A. 11. Herrera A. 10. Parrales M.	12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 5. Mena S. 85. Arce Y. 13. Anaya J. (C) 16. Caicedo J. 19. Castillo A. 33. Majao J. 15. Castillo F. 25. Delgado B. 90. Caicedo W.
Substitutes
8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 6. Callegari S. 53. Garces L. 3. Mina S. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 2. Quinonez B. 4. Quinonez S. 21. Rostagno G. 59. Vera J.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 8. Chaves M. 53. Chilla R. 77. Garcia C. 9. Guardia H. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Torres H.	Redin B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Castillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Mena S. ⚽, Arce Y. (A),
57', Castillo A. ↓, Guardia H. ↑,
61', Quinonez O. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Anaya J. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
77', Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
90', Delgado B. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
90', Castillo F. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
90+13', Caicedo W. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Orense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Orense is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orense won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.07.26	LDU Quito - Orense	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.05.26	Vinotinto - Orense	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Guayaquil City - Orense	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Orense - Leones del Norte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.06.26	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Juventud Italiana - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.02.26	Técnico Universitario - Orense	1:1
07.07.25	Técnico Universitario - Orense	1:2
10.03.25	Orense - Técnico Universitario	2:1
10.11.24	Orense - Técnico Universitario	0:2
20.05.24	Técnico Universitario - Orense	1:0
07.10.23	Técnico Universitario - Orense	2:1
05.05.23	Orense - Técnico Universitario	2:1

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