Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Parra P. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Ecuavisa, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Orense		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.1	4	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.15	2.95	4.27
	2.03	3.1	4.02	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.06	2.89	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3 ↑ (2.82)	3.95 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
45.6%

Draw
30.9%

Delfín
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

32.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.6%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Orense - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 26. Molina N. 13. Mena A. 10. Burgoa V. 19. Bermudez M. 11. Herrera A.	21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 30. Valverde J. 9. Ayunta F. 19. Cavallaro J. 16. Castro L. 33. Cabeza E. 10. Mendoza E.
Substitutes
8. Armas D. 17. Caicedo E. 9. Charpentier P. 53. Garces L. 25. Jaramilo R. 5. Lorenzo A. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 4. Quinonez S. 77. Vinan B. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.	7. Alvarez A. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 5. Medina O. 8. Molinas I. A. 18. Morocho J. 1. Ortiz J. (G) 50. Ozaeta T. 29. Ratotti F. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.
Coaches
Robles A.	Zubeldia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Molina N. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
24', Cabeza E. 🟨,
24', Rubio E. 🟨,
45+1', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bermudez M. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
46', Burgoa V. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
62', Mena A. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
62', Herrera A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
62', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
62', Cavallaro J. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
73', Heras B. 🟨,
76', Callegari S. 🟨,
76', Valverde J. 🟨,
82', Mendoza E. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
90+2', Mendoza E. 🟥,
90+3', Ayunta F. ↓, Yepez E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.

Orense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Delfín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Orense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Orense - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.04.26	Orense - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	SD Aucas - Orense	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Emelec - Orense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Delfín - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Delfín - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.08.25	Orense - Delfín	3:1
04.05.25	Delfín - Orense	0:0
01.11.24	Orense - Delfín	0:0
12.05.24	Delfín - Orense	0:1
05.08.23	Orense - Delfín	0:0
27.02.23	Delfín - Orense	1:1
02.10.22	Orense - Delfín	1:1

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