The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orense 48.3%
Draw 28.5%
Delfín 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
26.6%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
27%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orense's form might have worsened.
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Orense - Delfín Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 4. Quinonez S. 24. Achilier G. (C) 3. Mina S. 31. Velasco P. 21. Rostagno G. 25. Jaramilo R. 15. Caicedo B. 19. Bermudez M. 11. Herrera A. 30. Burgoa V.
21. Heras B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 70. Espinoza E. 18. Morocho J. 31. Arce J. 10. Luna D. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
6. Callegari S. 57. Mairongo S. 13. Mena A. 26. Molina N. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 10. Parrales M. 14. Pluas E. 2. Quinonez B. 45. Quinonez O. 88. Valencia J. 77. Vinan B.
51. Banguera C. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 34. Heredia G. 8. Moreno K. 55. Reyes M. 17. Rubio E. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K.
Coaches
Buch J. P.
Leon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rostagno G. ⚽, Burgoa V. (A),
21', Medina O. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Arce J. (Own goal),
45+1', Zuniga E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Espinoza E. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
46', Arce J. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
49', Mina S. 🟨,
61', Burgoa V. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
61', Bermudez M. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
62', Morocho J. 🟨,
63', Rostagno G. 🟨,
69', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
69', Luna D. ↓, Cornejo L. ↑,
72', Achilier G. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Valencia J. ⚽, Herrera A. (A),
79', Rostagno G. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
79', Herrera A. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Parrales M. ⚽, Velasco P. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Orense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Orense is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Orense has recorded 2 wins, 11 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 0.9:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).