Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Oriental de La Paz		Artigas

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.78
	2.57	2.96	2.91
	2.68	2.87	2.83	Watch
	2.47	3.29	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.19)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
36.7%

Draw
30.6%

Artigas
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Artigas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artigas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Oriental de La Paz - Artigas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
78', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11)

Oriental is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Artigas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Artigas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oriental is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:4 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Defensor Sporting	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLL
- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Artigas - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Artigas - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
20.08.25	Artigas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Artigas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2

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