Match Info

Copa Uruguay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Oriental de La Paz		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.55	Watch
	5.18	3.9	1.58
	5.37	3.34	1.68	Watch
	5.32	3.82	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↓ (5.44)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
17.6%

Draw
24.9%

Defensor Sporting
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

27.5%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

26.3%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Oriental de La Paz - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 0 - 1, Navarro L. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, Torterolo A. ⚽,

Preview

Oriental is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Defensor Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Defensor Sporting is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Central Español	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLWL
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.09.25	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW

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