Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Oriental de La Paz		Progreso

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.57	3.18	2.02
	3.57	3.18	2.02
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.44	3.3	1.97
	3.45	3.15	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	2 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
26.3%

Draw
28.4%

Progreso
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.4%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Progreso aligns with the current prediction.

Oriental de La Paz - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Oriental is Qualified for Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Progreso will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oriental won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Oriental won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:4 ✺
16.10.23	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWLTW
- CA Progreso
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.23	Progreso - Cerrito	4:2 ✺
22.10.23	Potencia - Progreso	2:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
19.10.23	Nacional Nueva Helvecia - Progreso	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.10.23	Progreso - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.06.23	Progreso - Oriental de La Paz	0:2
08.04.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:0

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