Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Oriental de La Paz		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2	3	3.7
	2.04	3.13	3.95
	2.06	3.09	3.93	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.96	3.02	3.88
	1.96	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	3.81 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
46%

Draw
30%

Sud América
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Sud América have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Oriental de La Paz - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Pucheta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', Aires E. 🟥,
81', 0 - 2, Chavez F. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.09.24	La Luz - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Oriental de La Paz - Cooper	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTWL
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.09.24	Sud América - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Sud América - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.06.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
13.04.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:2
16.10.23	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
27.05.23	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	3:1
04.03.23	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	1:0

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