The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oriental de La Paz 54.6%
Draw 25.9%
Uruguay Montevideo 19.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29.7%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
28.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental de La Paz's performance.
Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental de La Paz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1.
In recent outings, Oriental has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Uruguay Montevideo is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Oriental has faced a series of away games on the road.
Oriental carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Oriental has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oriental against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Oriental
24
8
9
7
33:29
4
33
14
Uruguay Montevideo
24
5
6
13
23:36
-13
21
Last Results with these Odds
Uruguay Montevideo - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.42%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Mexico
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Uruguay
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