Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.09	3.35	2.27
				Watch
	2.88	3	2.4
	3.13	3.06	2.21
	2.55	2.85	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.23)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.32 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
31.2%

Draw
29.6%

Uruguay Montevideo
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental de La Paz's form might have worsened.

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uruguay Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Mendez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Aires E. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2.

Recent performances by Oriental have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWTL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.25	Artigas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
04.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.24	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2
02.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1
21.04.24	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	3:2
25.10.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:1
10.06.23	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
26.03.23	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2

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