Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 30

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Oriente Petrolero		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.33	1.91	Watch
	2.68	4.15	2.08	Watch
	2.63	4.09	2.11
	2.64	4.04	2.29	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.15
	2.62	4.31	2.06	Watch
	5	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (5.73)	4.09 ↓ (4.78)	2.02 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
31.2%

Draw
22.8%

Bolívar
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

19%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	2.8%	13.9%

Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Bolívar will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 71.1% – 95.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Oriente Petrolero (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Bolívar (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oriente Petrolero (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oriente Petrolero will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Bolívar (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cardenas L. (C) 87. Melean A. 19. Vaca H. 51. de Guzman A. 18. Cabrera D. 36. Diez R. 26. Cuellar V. 30. Berdecio J. 37. Nava F. 10. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 40. Santacruz Rodas J. F.	25. Mendez D. (G) 8. Paz L. 7. Mena F. 5. Echeverria S. 2. Sagredo J. (C) 6. Vaca Moreno E. 20. Ayhuana A. 80. Melgar C. A. 29. Velasquez J. 17. Pato Rodriguez 21. Velasquez J.
Substitutes
16. Ampuero A. 21. Anagua Suruby R. S. 7. Arabe C. 22. Arauz J. (G) 11. Chala W. 31. Galvez V. 56. Nino De Guzman A. 29. Rojas J. 50. Tomianovic M. 55. Vaca P.	31. Butron H. 10. Catano D. 9. Cauteruccio M. 16. Garcia Cuellar S. 23. Justiniano L. 1. Lampe C. (G) 36. Limpias L. 28. Mendez B. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 4. Sagredo J. 3. Torren M.
Coaches
Andrada V.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Melgar C. A. ⚽,
34', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Velasquez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
62', Cabrera D. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Velasquez J. ⚽, Pato Rodriguez (A),
67', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Romero D. ↑,
67', Melgar C. A. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
69', Echeverria S. ↓, Torren M. ↑,
69', Ayhuana A. ↓, Limpias L. ↑,
70', Berdecio J. ↓, Vaca P. ↑,
73', Velasquez J. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
74', Melean A. ↓, Anagua Suruby R. S. ↑,
81', Anagua Suruby R. S. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Nava F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Sagredo J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Bolívar is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 0.

Oriente Petrolero is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolívar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:49. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.12.25	ABB - Oriente Petrolero	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Oriente Petrolero - GVCD San José	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.12.25	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	5:2 ✺
30.11.25	The Strongest - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.11.25	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
19.07.25	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	1:0
18.12.24	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	1:4
15.09.24	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	2:0
31.03.24	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	4:2
21.02.24	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	0:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.10.23	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	4:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	1:1

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