Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Oriente Petrolero		Vaca Díez

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.76	6.76
	1.43	4.77	6.76
	1.35	4.4	6.5
	1.43	4.65	6.35	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	4.6 ↑ (4.2)	6.45 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
65.4%

Draw
20.2%

Vaca Díez
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Vaca Díez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Oriente Petrolero - Vaca Díez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quinonez W. (C) 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 2. Rodriguez E. 6. Rojas D. 24. Guzman S. 77. Rojas J. 19. Sanchez E. 30. Berdecio J. 36. Reyes J. 99. Riquelme M. D. 35. Vargas J.	13. Pena I. (G) 14. Fernandez J. 3. Quinones Y. (C) 4. Mizael Monteiro 21. Roca D. 17. Rodriguez D. 5. Morales R. 38. Maldonado D. 7. Cuadros D. 33. Pinto D. 8. Taborga P.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez C. 27. Alvarez S. 11. Castillo J. 37. Cristaldo J. 4. Flores J. 13. Garcia C. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. 51. Nacif Joffre R. 16. Sandoval R. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 17. Zeballos L.	42. Becerra G. 25. Ibaguary A. 35. Pontons K. 11. Randerson 1. Rodriguez E. (G) 12. Soria C. (G) 39. Vaca W.
Coaches
Puche Vicente A.	Santana R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14).

Oriente Petrolero is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vaca Díez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oriente Petrolero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oriente Petrolero is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.11.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.11.23	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLT
- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.11.23	Vaca Díez - The Strongest	2:2 ✺
13.11.23	Royal Pari - Vaca Díez	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Vaca Díez - Bolívar	4:3 ✺
04.11.23	Vaca Díez - Guabirá	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
29.05.23	Vaca Díez - Oriente Petrolero	3:1

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