Match Info

US Open Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Orlando City		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.58
	2.49	3.85	2.6
	2.47	3.8	2.57	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.45
	2.38	3.66	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.51)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando City
38.3%

Draw
25.3%

Atlanta United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Orlando City - Atlanta United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Otero J. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 4. Brekalo D. 6. Jansson R. (C) 3. Gomez A. 77. Angulo I. 20. Atuesta E. 8. Ojeda B. 11. Tiago 10. Ojeda M. 22. Ellis J.	42. Hibbert J. (G) 2. Hernandez R. 5. Gregersen S. 18. Amador P. 3. Baez E. 47. Edwards M. 28. Reilly W. 35. Fortune A. 48. Sanchez C. 9. Latte Lath E. 59. Miranchuk Al. (C)
Substitutes
16. Cartagena W. 71. Crepeau M. (G) 57. Iago Teodoro 5. Luis Otavio 13. McGuire D. 87. Pasalic M. 19. Taifi Z.	6. Berrocal J. 88. Galarza M. 1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 11. Lobjanidze S. 8. Muyumba T. 19. Sergio Santos
Coaches
Perelman M.	Martino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brekalo D. ⚽, Ojeda B. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Dorsey G. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
24', 3 - 0, Tiago ⚽,
45+4', Gregersen S. 🟨,
45+5', 4 - 0, Tiago ⚽, Ojeda B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fortune A. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
46', Baez E. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
46', Hernandez R. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
46', Reilly W. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
58', Atuesta E. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
64', Sanchez C. 🟨,
66', Muyumba T. 🟨,
74', Ojeda M. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
74', Tiago ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
74', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Latte Lath E. ⚽,
84', Gomez A. ↓, Cartagena W. ↑,
84', Dorsey G. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
89', Amador P. 🟨,
90+2', Sergio Santos 🟨,
90+2', Cartagena W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta United - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
16.05.26	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	CF Montréal - Orlando City	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Inter Miami - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWLWW
- Atlanta United
MLS
16.05.26	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Atlanta United - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
28.04.26	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
16.05.26	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:1
28.05.25	Atlanta United - Orlando City	3:2
26.04.25	Orlando City - Atlanta United	3:0
24.11.24	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:0
19.10.24	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:2
17.03.24	Atlanta United - Orlando City	2:0
15.07.23	Atlanta United - Orlando City	1:2

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