Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Atlanta United		Los Angeles Galaxy

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65
	2.38	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.36	3.76	2.98
	2.36	3.51	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.39	3.64	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
40.5%

Draw
26.7%

Los Angeles Galaxy
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Atlanta United - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - LA Galaxy (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 6. Berrocal J. 3. Baez E. 8. Muyumba T. 48. Sanchez C. 88. Galarza M. 59. Miranchuk Al. 11. Lobjanidze S. 9. Latte Lath E.	12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 19. Cuevas M. 5. Glesnes J. (C) 25. Garces C. 14. Nelson J. 15. Haak J. 8. Sanabria L. 6. Cerrillo E. 11. Gabriel Pec 28. Paintsil J. 26. Miller H.
Substitutes
18. Amador P. 20. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 35. Fortune A. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 4. Mihaj E. 28. Reilly W. 19. Sergio Santos 30. Togashi C.	76. Elgersma T. 1. Micovic N. (G) 16. Parente I. 24. Ramos R. 18. Reus M. 27. Thommy E. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M. 4. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Martino G.	Vanney G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Gregersen S. 🟨,
28', Sanchez C. 🟨,
30', Berrocal J. 🟨,
45+1', Martino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Glesnes J. 🟨,
60', Galarza M. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
65', Haak J. ↓, Reus M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Fortune A. ⚽, Baez E. (A),
71', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
71', Latte Lath E. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
73', Sanabria L. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
73', Miller H. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pec ⚽, Reus M. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Gabriel Pec ⚽,
83', Berrocal J. ↓, Mihaj E. ↑,
83', Sanchez C. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
90+1', Paintsil J. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 10)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Alzate S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Aude J. (Ankle Injury) Joao Klauss (Foot Injury) Matheus Nascimento (Muscle Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury) Thommy E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Atlanta: Almiron M. (Knee Injury) Picault F. (Injury) Sergio Santos (Illness)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta United - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Los Angeles Galaxy - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
02.05.26	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
28.04.26	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLL
- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
02.05.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Columbus Crew - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	FC Dallas - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.04.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
24.08.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Atlanta United	2:0
24.07.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - Atlanta United	2:0
03.08.19	Atlanta United - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:0
21.04.18	Los Angeles Galaxy - Atlanta United	0:2
20.09.17	Atlanta United - Los Angeles Galaxy	4:0

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