Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Exploria Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Orlando City		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.55
	2.65	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.64
	2.72	3.5	2.63
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.67	3.6	2.49	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.52)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando City
36%

Draw
27%

Los Angeles
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Orlando City - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stajduhar M. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. D. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 3. Rafael Santos 10. Torres F. 14. Lodeiro N. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D. 9. Muriel L.	1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 3. Murillo J. 33. Long A. 24. Hollingshead R. 11. Tillman T. 6. Sanchez I. 20. Atuesta E. 19. Bogusz M. 23. Kamara K. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
8. Felipe Martins 30. Freeman A. 33. Kocevski J. 27. Lynn J. 23. Mohammed S. 11. Ojeda M. 50. Otero J. (G) 24. Smith K. 68. Williams T.	21. Angel T. 2. Campos O. 25. Chanot M. 18. Duenas E. 36. Musto T. 27. Ordaz N. 22. Romero A. (G) 4. Segura E.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Cherundolo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Torres F. (Pen),
45', 0 - 1, Bouanga D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Bouanga D. 🟨,
61', Angulo I. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
61', Atuesta E. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
61', Kamara K. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
66', Thorhallsson D. D. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Muriel L. (A),
78', McGuire D. ↓, Lynn J. ↑,
79', Tillman T. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
79', Hollingshead R. ↓, Chanot M. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Bogusz M. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Bouanga D. ⚽,
86', Bogusz M. ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Orlando City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Los Angeles is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Orlando City: Halliday M. (Injury) Reid-Brown T. (Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Injury) Martinez D. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
01.06.24	New York Red Bulls - Orlando City	1:0 ✺
29.05.24	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Orlando City - Columbus Crew	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
15.05.24	Orlando City - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
01.06.24	Los Angeles - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
29.05.24	Los Angeles - Minnesota United	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Los Angeles - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
MLS
15.05.24	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.04.22	Orlando City - Los Angeles	2:4
31.07.20	Orlando City - Los Angeles	2:1 penalties
07.09.19	Orlando City - Los Angeles	2:2
07.07.18	Los Angeles - Orlando City	4:1

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