Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Orlando City		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.90	2.75	Watch
	2.20	3.90	2.70
	2.06	3.85	2.80
	2.29	4.01	2.92
	2.24	4.08	2.77	Watch
	2.25	3.95	2.85
	2.31	4.00	2.88	Watch
	2.20	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.94)	3.94 ↓ (3.94)	2.8 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando City
42.5%

Draw
23.9%

San Diego
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

23.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Orlando City - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 4. Brekalo D. 6. Jansson R. (C) 44. Rhein B. 22. Ellis J. 20. Atuesta E. 35. Gerbet J. 77. Angulo I. 7. Griezmann A. 9. Dike D.	1. dos Santos CJ (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 26. Duah M. 32. Murphy I. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 20. Godoy A. (C) 12. Gabriel Pirani 10. Dreyer A. 8. Valakari O. 99. Achouri E.
Substitutes
16. Cartagena W. 57. Iago Teodoro 5. Luis Otavio 10. Ojeda M. 12. Otero J. (G) 87. Pasalic M. 14. Spicer T. 19. Taifi Z. 11. Tiago	21. Duke B. 18. Ferree D. (G) 97. McVey C. 77. Mighten A. 90. Pellegrino A. 25. Pilcher I. 3. Thorhallsson D. 19. Vazquez D. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Perelman M.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Rhein B. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
62', Verhoeven O. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
63', Murphy I. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
63', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
66', Gerbet J. ↓, Cartagena W. ↑,
67', Dike D. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
76', Atuesta E. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
76', Ellis J. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
79', Valakari O. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
84', Vazquez D. 🟨,
85', Luis Otavio 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Duke B. ↑,
90+4', Sargeant K. 🟨,
90+9', Brekalo D. 🟨,
90+10', Angulo I. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Orlando City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.

Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Orlando City: Ojeda B. (Foot Injury) Rhein B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Injury) Tverskov J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Gomez A. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of MLS for now

Orlando City: 1.37% San Diego FC: 0.86%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
29.08.26	Minnesota United - Orlando City	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Orlando City - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Orlando City - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Orlando City - Atlético San Luis	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTW
- San Diego FC
MLS
29.08.26	San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Portland Timbers - San Diego	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Los Angeles - San Diego	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	San Diego - Puebla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW

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