Match Info

MTN 8 Cup - Final

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4
South Africa	18:00	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4


	Orlando Pirates		Stellenbosch

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.1
	1.92	2.82	4.25
	1.83	3.13	4.62
	1.9	2.94	4.3
	1.95	3.06	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	4.23 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
48.1%

Draw
30.4%

Stellenbosch
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (G) 37. Lebitso T. 33. Seema L. 44. Mbokazi M. (C) 7. Hotto D. 30. Nduli S. 16. Mbatha T. 36. Sebelebele K. 38. Mofokeng R. 23. Mbule S. 17. Makgopa E.	17. Stephens S. (C) 16. Godswill E. 24. Moloisane T. 4. Stanic H. 3. Mdaka O. 21. Mthiyane M. 34. Titus D. 20. Barns S. 19. Palace G. 10. Mojela L. B. 18. De Jong A.
Substitutes
12. Appollis O. 35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 46. Dansin C. 19. Mabasa T. 32. Mariko A. 11. Moremi T. 3. Ndaba N. 15. Nemtajela M. 5. Sibisi N.	33. Butsaka C. 9. Cupido A. 27. Jabaar I. 12. Khiba T. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 29. Mokobodi T. 7. Nku L. 14. Nkwali S. 11. Phili L.
Coaches
Ouaddou A.	Barker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Palace G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Mojela L. B. ↓, Cupido A. ↑,
59', Palace G. ↓, Jabaar I. ↑,
61', Mbule S. ↓, Appollis O. ↑,
71', Barns S. ↓, Nku L. ↑,
72', Godswill E. ↓, Mokobodi T. ↑,
74', Lebitso T. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
74', Makgopa E. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
82', Cupido A. 🟨,
83', Titus D. ↓, Khiba T. ↑,
90+1', Mbatha T. ↓, Nemtajela M. ↑,
Extra Time (3 - 0)
92', 1 - 0, Moremi T. ⚽, Appollis O. (A),
97', Mthiyane M. ↓, Phili L. ↑,
103', 2 - 0, Mabasa T. ⚽, Moremi T. (A),
105', Mofokeng R. ↓, Sibisi N. ↑,
107', Phili L. 🟨,
110', 3 - 0, Moremi T. ⚽, Appollis O. (A),
113', Sebelebele K. 🟨,
117', De Jong A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 2.

Orlando Pirates is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stellenbosch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Orlando Pirates is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
31.08.25	Chippa United - Orlando Pirates	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Orbit College	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates	1:2 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
16.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT
- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
30.08.25	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
26.08.25	Stellenbosch - Marumo Gallants	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.08.25	Sekhukhune United - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
16.08.25	Stellenbosch - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	1:0
11.03.25	Stellenbosch - Orlando Pirates	0:0
01.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	0:1
South African MTN 8 Cup
05.10.24	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	3:1
South African Premier Soccer League
29.12.23	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	2:3
South African MTN 8 Cup
24.09.23	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	0:1
03.09.23	Stellenbosch - Orlando Pirates	1:2

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