Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	14:00	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 2
Cyprus	15:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Israel	15:00	Sport 4
Italy	14:00	Como TV
Romania	15:00	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	16:00	TV Start
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Sport TV1
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Usa	08:00	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Sochaux		Lens

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.42	Watch
	6.4	4.7	1.47
	6.09	4.74	1.45	Watch
	6	4.2	1.44
	6.38	4.56	1.48	Watch
	6.33	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↓ (7.05)	4.51 ↓ (4.79)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
15.1%

Draw
20.7%

Lens
64.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.2%

19.4%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

18.8%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Sochaux - Lens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeannin M. (G) 24. Tavares D. 26. N'Gatta E. 14. Peybernes M. (C) 17. Youssouf B. 6. Mendes E. 23. Masson J. 7. Gomel B. 28. Boutoutaou A. 15. Mexique J. 9. Djoco K.	1. Risser R. (G) 4. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 3. Sarr M. 2. Abdulhamid S. 5. Thomasson A. 8. Udol M. 7. Sotoca F. (C) 10. Said W. 9. Guilavogui M. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
10. Fofana B. . Joseph V. . Loubao S. 5. Mendy P. . Monthieu P. 16. Pierre A. (G) 2. Saidi A. 12. Sidibe A. 11. Vetro J.	12. Aguilar R. . Bulatovic A. . Celik N. 38. Fofana R. . Garnier E. . Gurtner R. (G) 19. Sima A. 18. Sylla F. . Thauvin F.
Coaches
Hognon V.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Baidoo S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Hognon V. 🟨,
67', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Loubao S. ↑,
67', Gomel B. ↓, Fofana B. ↑,
73', Guilavogui M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
74', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
74', Youssouf B. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
75', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
75', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
84', Sotoca F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
84', Said W. ↓, Thauvin F. ↑,
87', Mendes E. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Udol M. ⚽, Sima A. (A),
89', 0 - 3, Sima A. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 2.

Sochaux has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lens is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sochaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sochaux has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lens is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochaux won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Béthune ST - Sochaux	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	Abandoned ✺
05.12.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Sarre-Union - Sochaux	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Sochaux - Dijon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?WWL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
02.01.26	Toulouse - Lens	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Lens - Feignies Aulnoye	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lens - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Nantes - Lens	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Angers - Lens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.11.19	Lens - Sochaux	4:0
17.02.19	Sochaux - Lens	0:1
15.09.18	Lens - Sochaux	2:0
30.01.18	Lens - Sochaux	0:1
12.08.17	Sochaux - Lens	3:2
13.03.17	Lens - Sochaux	2:1
17.10.16	Sochaux - Lens	1:0

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