Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 17

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.75
	2.88	3.49	2.12
	2.92	3.49	2.1
	3.82	3.84	1.73	Watch
	3	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.65 ↓ (4)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
27.8%

Draw
24.9%

Chełmianka Chełm
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

22.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

22%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 3.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chełmianka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chełmianka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chełmianka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.11.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Karpaty Krosno - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:5 ✺
21.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.11.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3 ✺
03.11.23	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:4 ✺
28.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
20.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	3:1 ✺
13.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.03.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1
17.08.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:3
21.05.22	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Chełmianka Chełm	1:0
16.10.21	Chełmianka Chełm - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	0:2
10.04.21	Chełmianka Chełm - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:0
29.08.20	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2
24.08.19	Chełmianka Chełm - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:0

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