Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Os Marialvas		Naval

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.68
	2.27	3.33	2.7
	2.62	3.03	2.67	Watch
	2.49	3.21	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Naval
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Os Marialvas - Naval Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

Marialvas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Naval has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marialvas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marialvas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Os Marialvas	4	3	0	1	8:2	6	9
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Os Marialvas - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Os Marialvas - Fatima	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samora Correia - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWWT
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Naval - Lajense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Naval - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fatima - Naval	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0

Os Marialvas - Naval: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide