Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Naval		Lajense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.95
	1.82	3.1	4.14
	1.85	3.21	4.16	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.85	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	4.09 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
48.9%

Draw
29.1%

Lajense
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Naval - Lajense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Naval is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.03.26	Naval - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fatima - Naval	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.03.26	Lajense - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mortágua - Lajense	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lajense - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fatima - Lajense	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lajense - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1

Naval - Lajense