Match Info

J3 League - Round 30

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Osaka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.25	1.98
	3.42	3.53	2.08
	3.32	3.29	2.13	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.06	Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	3.36 ↑ (3.17)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
27.4%

Draw
27.4%

Osaka
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Gainare Tottori - Osaka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Osaka (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 3. Nagano S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 42. Kaneura M. 34. Soga D. 21. Kawamura T. 11. Tojo A. 14. Fukoin M. 10. Togashi Y.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 13. Mima K. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 25. Takei S. 27. Sawazaki R. 19. Masuda S. 10. Kubo R. 51. Nishimura M. 11. Tone R.
Substitutes
18. Handa K. 77. Hashimoto S. 17. Matsumoto T. 7. Ozawa H. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K. 44. Vaneerden S.	8. Haga A. 20. Horikoshi D. 7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 41. Nose R. 24. Sato R. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 99. Vinicius Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Nagano S. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Nishimura M. ⚽, Tone R. (A),
31', Mima K. 🟨,
42', Maruyama S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tone R. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Akiyama T. ⚽, Nishimura M. (A),
57', Togashi Y. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
57', Maruyama S. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
57', Takei S. ↓, Haga A. ↑,
71', Soga D. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
71', Kawamura T. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
75', Kubo R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
82', Fukoin M. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Tanada R. ⚽,
89', Mima K. ↓, Tsutsumi S. ↑,
89', Masuda S. ↓, Minakuchi Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Osaka - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Tochigi City - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLL
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Nara Club - Osaka	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:3 ✺
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Osaka - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
08.03.25	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	1:0
24.08.24	Gainare Tottori - Osaka	2:1
15.06.24	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	2:1
28.10.23	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	1:1
01.07.23	Gainare Tottori - Osaka	2:2

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