Match Info

J3 League - Round 28

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.35
	1.6	3.7	6.06
	2.74	3.40	2.40	Watch
	1.65	3.56	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)	3.56 ↓ (3.62)	4.77 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
52.5%

Draw
27.2%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Giravanz (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giravanz (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 5. Minakuchi Y. 3. Kawakami R. 6. Tachino S. 8. Haga A. 51. Nishimura M. 27. Sawazaki R. 19. Masuda S. 11. Tone R. 7. Kitsui T.	27. Tanaka Y. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 6. Hoshi K. 34. Takayoshi S. 32. Takayanagi F. 66. Takahashi D. 20. Yada A. 25. Tsubogo R. 29. Koh S.
Substitutes
23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 10. Kubo R. 13. Mima K. 41. Nose R. 24. Sato R. 9. Shimada T. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 25. Takei S.	13. Higashi R. 99. Kabayama R. 28. Konomi K. 17. Okano R. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 21. Ushinohama T. 18. Watanabe S. 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Yamawaki K. ⚽,
30', Yada A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Takahashi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Haga A. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
46', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
46', Tone R. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
59', Koh S. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
59', Yada A. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
67', Tachino S. ↓, Hashimoto R. ↑,
74', Kubo R. 🟨,
75', Tsubogo R. ↓, Ushinohama T. ↑,
75', Takahashi D. ↓, Okano R. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Watanabe S. ⚽,
78', Nishimura M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
80', Sugiyama K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Osaka is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Osaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Osaka - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
13.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gifu	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Nagano Parceiro - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nara Club	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	1:0
19.10.24	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0
24.09.23	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0
16.07.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0

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