Match Info

J3 League - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.25	3.10
	2.17	3.30	2.85	Watch
	2.07	3.50	3.42
	2.14	3.6	3.09	Watch
	2.01	3.35	3.35
	2.10	3.41	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.23)	3.39 ↑ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
44.2%

Draw
27%

Zweigen Kanazawa
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kanazawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 2. Sakamoto K. 5. Minakuchi Y. 25. Kuwako R. 6. Tachino S. (C) 28. Toya T. 14. Sumida S. 11. Yoshida G. 17. Morimura S. 9. Shimada T. 95. Isa K.	31. Ueda I. (G) 39. Shoji H. 2. Yamamoto N. (C) 20. Nagakura H. 29. Miyazaki K. 15. Nishiya Y. 26. Murata J. 14. Shinomiya Y. 41. Shimada S. 7. Tosa R. 9. Buwanika K.
Substitutes
15. Fukui K. 30. Han J. (G) 21. Kimura H. 7. Kitsui T. 52. Kojima M. 10. Kubo R. 35. Shin K. 29. Sugawara R. 99. Vinicius Souza	50. Goto D. (G) 3. Hatao H. 27. Otani H. 8. Oyama K. 10. Patric 23. Sakakibara K. 13. Shirawachi K. 28. Suzuki H. 19. Terasaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Shoji H. 🟨,
45', Sakamoto K. 🟨,
45+2', Miyazaki K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Isa K. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
62', Morimura S. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
66', Shimada S. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
66', Tosa R. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
83', Miyazaki K. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
83', Buwanika K. ↓, Patric ↑,
85', Yoshida G. ↓, Vinicius Souza ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Sumida S. ⚽,
88', Murata J. ↓, Oyama K. ↑,
90+2', Toya T. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
90+2', Shimada T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Shirawachi K. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Osaka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Osaka has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Osaka	10	4	5	1	18:9	9	17
7	Kanazawa	10	4	2	4	17:14	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Osaka - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Sagamihara - Osaka	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Kochi United - Osaka	0:4 ✺
18.09.26	Osaka - Fukushima United	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	Osaka - Ehime	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
17.05.26	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 penalties
22.03.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	1:0 penalties
Japan J3 League
07.12.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
07.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	2:1
23.03.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
30.08.24	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1
09.03.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	2:6

Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide