Match Info

Date: 16 June 2021, Wednesday


	Osasco Sporting		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.35	2.9	2.13
	3.66	3.06	2.25
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.35	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
27.5%

Draw
30.6%

Mirassol
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
05.06.21	Figueirense - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
27.05.21	Osasco Sporting - São Bernardo	1:2 penalties ✺
24.05.21	São Bernardo - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
21.05.21	Osasco Sporting - Piracicaba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLTW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.21	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:3 ✺
05.06.21	Mirassol - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.05.21	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:0 ✺
12.05.21	Mirassol - Guarani	1:0 penalties ✺
09.05.21	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.03.20	Mirassol - Osasco Sporting	1:0
20.03.19	Osasco Sporting - Mirassol	1:1
09.02.13	Osasco Sporting - Mirassol	2:1

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