Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	Mirassol		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.95
	2.1	3.3	3.35
	2	3.35	3.2
	2.29	3.33	3.14
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.34	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.89)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	3.13 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
42.6%

Draw
28.1%

Ypiranga
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

17.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirassol's form might have worsened.

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ypiranga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirassol - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mirassol is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ypiranga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.05.21	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:0 ✺
12.05.21	Mirassol - Guarani	1:0 penalties ✺
09.05.21	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
06.05.21	Santo André - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
03.05.21	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLL
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.21	Ypiranga - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.04.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
20.04.21	Caxias - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
09.04.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.04.21	Fortaleza - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTL

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