Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Osasuna B		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.61	3.25	2.77
	2.34	3.18	3.05	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.59	3.21	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	2.77 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
37.2%

Draw
29.4%

Real Avilés
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Osasuna B - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rafa (G) 12. Lucero R. 4. Espejo D. 5. Santos U. 3. Jimenez A. 21. Ruiz R. C. 6. Echegoyen M. 10. Rico M. 16. Auria M. 17. Arroyo R. 8. Yoldi A.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 15. Chukwuma E. 24. Lopez A. 17. Bari Q. 8. Bautista K. 16. Gomez A. 14. Cayarga B. 21. Uzkudun A. 9. Santamaria A.
Substitutes
30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 19. Bonel A. 15. Efremov A. 26. Garin X. 9. Gonzalez D. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 23. Serrano M. 1. Stamatakis D. (G)	10. Cueto J. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 18. Gete A. 12. Grigore R. 22. Isi Ros 7. Luis Alcalde 19. Poquet N. 23. Rivera C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gomez A. 🟨,
32', Rico M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rico M. ↓, Arrasate I. ↑,
52', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
65', Lucero R. 🟨,
68', Arroyo R. ↓, Bonel A. ↑,
68', Lucero R. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
68', Auria M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Bautista K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Uzkudun A. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
75', Pedroarena M. 🟨,
80', Chukwuma E. 🟨,
80', Santamaria A. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
80', Bautista K. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
81', Santamaria A. 🟨,
81', Santos U. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
82', Arroyo R. 🟨,
82', Bari Q. ↓, Gete A. ↑,
90', Serrano M. 🟥,
90', Echegoyen M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.04.26	Lugo - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Osasuna B - CD Guadalajara	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WWLLW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.04.26	Real Avilés - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Avilés	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real Avilés - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Real Avilés - Osasuna B	2:0

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