Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Osasuna B		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.42	3	2.88
	2.56	2.91	2.97
	2.52	2.98	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.57	3.08	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.36)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
36.7%

Draw
31.1%

CD Guadalajara
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Osasuna B - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Osasuna B will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rafa (G) 2. Arguibide I. 3. Jimenez A. 4. Espejo D. 21. Ruiz R. C. 24. Osambela A. 6. Echegoyen M. (C) 10. Rico M. 8. Yoldi A. 9. Gonzalez D. 34. Arrasate I.	1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. (C) 15. Rodriguez V. 23. Casado J. 16. Cadete 19. Munoz P. 8. Calvo T. 6. Rojo P. 7. Neskes 10. Amigo D. 17. Gomez J.
Substitutes
30. Anso M. 17. Arroyo R. 16. Auria M. 15. Efremov A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 5. Santos U. 23. Serrano M. 1. Stamatakis D. (G)	4. Ablanque J. 11. Alvarez U. 24. Caropitche S. M. 33. Exposito R. 18. Martinez J. 27. Mayo N. 20. Miki 3. Moreno A. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Zarco A. 🟥,
21', Neskes ↓, Miki ↑,
21', Calvo T. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
37', Casado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 3)
46', Arrasate I. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
52', 🟨,
52', Gomez J. 🟨,
52', Arguibide I. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Casado J. (Own goal),
63', Amigo D. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
63', Gomez J. ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
72', Arguibide I. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
72', Gonzalez D. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Alvarez U. ⚽,
81', Rojo P. ↓, Ablanque J. ↑,
82', Rico M. ↓, Auria M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Alvarez U. ⚽,
87', Echegoyen M. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Auria M. ⚽,
90+9', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+11', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Osasuna B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

CD Guadalajara - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Osasuna B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWTL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Celta de Vigo B	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0

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