Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 12

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Oskarshamn (Oskarshamn)


	Oskarshamn		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.4	3.5	1.95
	3.88	3.67	1.82
	3.47	3.6	2	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	3.62	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.84)	3.54 ↑ (3.48)	1.89 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oskarshamn
25.5%

Draw
25.9%

AFC Malmö
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oskarshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oskarshamn's form might have worsened.

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Malmö's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oskarshamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Oskarshamn - AFC Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oskarshamn will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AFC Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oskarshamn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - AFC Malmö (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Oskarshamn (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oskarshamn (votes: 3 - 75%). AFC Malmö (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Basic M. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 7. Ali K. 19. Arvidsson G. 6. Blomdahl O. 5. Hallberg H. 2. Hogberg M. 77. Navik L. 15. Nilsson V. 12. Pettersson B. L. 27. Renato	1. Al Rekabe K. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 8. Brannefalk J. 5. Bunjaku G. 6. Nouri B. 10. Reuterskiold A. 7. Sandstrom A. 20. Simba P. 16. Sverrisson O. 14. Wettergren L.
Substitutes
11. Adolfsson I. 1. Hartmann M. (G) 3. Isaksson M. O. 9. Nyholm A. 8. Olaniyan O. 17. Ringenhag E. 13. Stenman F.	77. Castro V. 22. Karaman E. 36. Kristiansson V. 25. Lubwama R. (G) 12. Mehmed E. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. 9. Zadran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Renato ⚽,
45+1', Brannefalk J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Hallberg H. ↓, Olaniyan O. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Andersson V. ⚽,
61', Simba P. 🟨,
61', Wettergren L. ↓, Karaman E. ↑,
61', Simba P. ↓, Castro V. ↑,
71', Ali K. ↓, Nyholm A. ↑,
71', Blomdahl O. ↓, Adolfsson I. ↑,
72', Bunjaku G. ↓, Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. ↑,
73', Pettersson B. L. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Karaman E. ⚽,
78', Andersson V. ↓, Kristiansson V. ↑,
78', Sandstrom A. ↓, Zadran R. ↑,
83', Hogberg M. ↓, Stenman F. ↑,
84', Kristiansson V. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Reuterskiold A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

Oskarshamn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ariana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ariana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oskarshamn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oskarshamn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
01.06.25	Husqvarna - Oskarshamn	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Oskarshamn - Rosengård 1917	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Hässleholm - Oskarshamn	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Oskarshamn - Skövde AIK	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLTWW
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
01.06.25	AFC Malmö - Norrby	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Torslanda - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	AFC Malmö - Ljungskile	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
31.08.24	Oskarshamn - AFC Malmö	4:3
27.04.24	AFC Malmö - Oskarshamn	1:1
12.08.23	Oskarshamn - AFC Malmö	3:2
27.05.23	AFC Malmö - Oskarshamn	4:0

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