The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osnabrück 50.7%
Draw 25.6%
Erzgebirge Aue 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
25.2%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
24.9%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0, 1st Half - Aue (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Osnabrück will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Jonsson L. (G) 4. Karademir Y. 24. Muller J. (C) 27. Fabinski R. 31. Kammerbauer P. 26. Wagner F. 15. Jacobsen B. 13. Schumacher K. 11. Meissner R. 18. Kehl L. 14. Ihorst L.
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 23. Barylla A. 20. Fabisch J. 13. Majetschak E. 24. Ehlers J. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 39. Schmid M.
Substitutes
37. Badjie I. 3. Christensen F. 9. Goguadze N. 6. Henning B. 20. Janotta T. 10. Proger K. 22. Riesselmann B. 1. Sauter N. (G) 19. Wiethaup K.
8. Clausen M. . Fraulob Q. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Schultz T.
Hartel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Jacobsen B. ⚽, Kammerbauer P. (A),
59', Ihorst L. ↓, Badjie I. ↑,
59', Schumacher K. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Kehl L. (Pen),
63', Ehlers J. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
69', Schmid M. ↓, Seidel P. ↑,
69', Barylla A. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Clausen M. ⚽,
74', Kehl L. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
86', Fallmann P. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
88', Meissner R. ↓, Riesselmann B. ↑,
88', Wagner F. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,
90', Malone R. 🟥,
90+2', Weinhauer E. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Badjie I. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 1.
Recent performances by Osnabrück have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aue's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Osnabrück could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).