Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Osnabrück		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.8	2.11
	3.51	3.65	2.13
	3.2	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.7	2.09	Watch
	3.35	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	3.66 ↓ (3.9)	2.08 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
28.5%

Draw
25.9%

Paderborn
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.1%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Osnabrück - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Paderborn will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kuhn P. (G) 2. Androutsos A. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 13. Kunze L. 17. Conteh C. 9. Engelhardt E. 7. Niemann N.	1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 8. Kinsombi D. (C) 16. Musliu V. 23. Obermair R. 27. Klefisch K. 26. Klaas S. 32. Zehnter A. 11. Conteh S. 36. Platte F. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 11. Makridis C. 16. Rorig H. 8. Tesche R. 6. Thalhammer M. 25. Wiemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.	29. Ansah I. 4. Brackelmann C. 43. Ens M. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 33. Hoffmeier M. 13. Leipertz R. 35. Schulz A. (G) 6. Schuster M.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Kwasniok L.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Osnabrück could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paderborn will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
19.01.24	Karlsruher - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Twente - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Osnabrück - Zwolle	Canceled ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LT?TT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	6:1 ✺
11.01.24	Genk - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
08.01.24	Heidenheim - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.08.23	Paderborn - Osnabrück	1:1
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Paderborn - Osnabrück	1:2
09.07.22	Paderborn - Osnabrück	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.21	Paderborn - Osnabrück	2:2
19.12.20	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:1
German 3 Bundesliga
14.04.18	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:5
04.11.17	Paderborn - Osnabrück	3:0

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