Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday

Location: IC Santai Hotel (Belek)


	Genk		Paderborn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.9	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.8	3.5
	1.84	3.8	3.5
	1.75	3.8	3.4
	1.85	3.98	3.63	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.78 ↑ (3.66)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
49.4%

Draw
24.3%

Paderborn
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Genk - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Genk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Club Friendly
09.01.24	Lugano - Genk	0:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.23	Genk - Royal Antwerp	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Anderlecht - Genk	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Genk - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Genk - Čukarički	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- SC Paderborn 07
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Heidenheim - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Paderborn	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Paderborn - Hannover	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW

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